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Who needs what in the final weekend of the USL Championship regular season?

By NICHOLAS MURRAY - nicholas.murray@uslsoccer.com, 10/10/23, 1:00PM EDT

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Here’s how each of the teams still alive in the playoff race can clinch a place in the last round of games


Seven teams will be vying for the final three places in the 2023 USL Championship Playoffs during the final weekend of the regular season.

Judgment Weekend arrives in the USL Championship this Friday and Saturday night.

The final three berths in the 2023 USL Championship Playoffs are at stake, with seven teams still alive in their bid to join the 13 teams that have already secured their postseason tickets.

So, how might this all play out?

Here’s our team-by-team guide as to how each could clinch its playoff berth – which includes the potential for two three-way tiebreakers in the Western Conference – as every squad from seventh-placed El Paso Locomotive FC to 11th-placed Rio Grande Valley FC still has a chance to earn a spot.

USL Championship Playoff Clinching Scenarios

EASTERN CONFERENCE
Miami FC

  • Miami FC wins vs. Sacramento Republic FC, moves to 44pts
    • Miami moves clear of Detroit City FC on maximum available total of 43pts
  • Miami FC draws vs. Sacramento Republic FC, moves to 42pts
    • AND Detroit City FC draws/loses vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC
  • Miami FC loses vs. Sacramento Republic FC, remains on 41pts
    • AND Detroit City FC loses vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC

Detroit City FC

  • Detroit City FC wins vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC, moves to 43pts
    • AND Miami FC draws/loses vs. Sacramento Republic FC, Miami ends on 42/41pts
  • Detroit City FC draws vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC, moves to 41pts
    • AND Miami FC loses vs. Sacramento Republic FC, Miami ends on 41pts – Detroit City FC holds head-to-head tiebreaker (1-0-1)

WESTERN CONFERENCE
El Paso Locomotive FC

  • El Paso Locomotive FC wins vs. Oakland Roots SC, moves to 47pts
    • El Paso Locomotive FC moves clear of Oakland Roots SC, Monterey Bay F.C.
  • El Paso Locomotive FC draws vs. Oakland Roots SC, moves to 45pts
    • Oakland Roots SC ends on 43pts, El Paso Locomotive FC moves clear of Monterey Bay F.C. on maximum available total of 44pts
  • El Paso Locomotive FC loses vs. Oakland Roots SC, remains on 44pts
    • AND New Mexico United loses vs. Memphis 901 FC, ends on 43pts
    • AND Monterey Bay F.C. draws/loses vs. Orange County SC, ends on 42/41pts

New Mexico United

  • New Mexico United wins vs. Memphis 901 FC, moves to 46pts
    • New Mexico United moves clear of Oakland Roots SC, Monterey Bay F.C., Rio Grande Valley FC
  • New Mexico United draws vs. Memphis 901 FC, moves to 44pts
    • AND El Paso Locomotive FC loses vs. Oakland Roots SC, ends on 44pts – head-to-head tiebreaker inapplicable (1-1-0, even goal differential) – New Mexico takes tiebreaker on PPG In-Conference (New Mexico 1.14, El Paso 1.09)
    • OR Oakland Roots SC draws/loses vs. El Paso Locomotive FC, ends on 43/42pts
    • AND Monterey Bay F.C. draws/loses vs. Orange County SC, ends on 42/41pts
  • New Mexico United loses vs. Memphis 901 FC, remains on 43pts
    • AND Oakland Roots SC loses vs. El Paso Locomotive FC, ends on 42pts
    • AND Monterey Bay F.C. draws/loses vs. Orange County SC, ends on 42/41pts
    • AND Rio Grande Valley FC draws/loses vs. Loudoun United FC, ends on 41/40pts

Oakland Roots SC

  • Oakland Roots SC wins vs. El Paso Locomotive FC, moves to 45pts
    • Oakland Roots SC moves clear of El Paso Locomotive FC, Monterey Bay F.C. and Rio Grande Valley FC
  • Oakland Roots SC draws vs. El Paso Locomotive FC, moves to 43pts
    • AND New Mexico United loses vs. Memphis 901 FC, remains on 43pts – Oakland Roots SC holds head-to-head tiebreaker (2-0-0)
    • AND Monterey Bay F.C. draws/loses vs. Orange County SC, ends on 42/41pts
    • AND Rio Grande Valley FC draws/loses vs. Loudoun United FC, ends on 41/40pts

Monterey Bay F.C.

  • Monterey Bay F.C. wins vs. Orange County SC, moves to 44pts
    • AND New Mexico United draws/loses vs. Memphis 901 FC, moves to 44/43pts – Monterey Bay F.C. holds head-to-head tiebreaker (1-1-0, +1GD)
    • AND Oakland Roots SC draws/loses vs. El Paso Locomotive FC, moves to 43/42pts
    • OR El Paso Locomotive FC loses vs. Oakland Roots SC, remains on 44pts – Monterey Bay F.C. holds head-to-head tiebreaker (1-0-1)

Rio Grande Valley FC

  • Rio Grande Valley FC wins vs. Loudoun United FC, moves to 43pts
    • AND New Mexico United loses vs. Memphis 901 FC, remains on 43pts – head-to-head tiebreaker inapplicable (0-0-2), New Mexico holds PPG vs. In-Conference Opponents (1.27ppg vs. 1.14ppg)
    • AND Oakland Roots SC loses vs. El Paso Locomotive FC, remains on 42pts
    • AND Monterey Bay F.C. draws/loses vs. Orange County SC, ends on 42/41pts

Three-Way Tiebreaker Scenarios

Monterey Bay F.C. / El Paso Locomotive FC / New Mexico United (44pts)

Monterey Bay F.C. takes tiebreaker with head-to-head over both El Paso Locomotive FC (1-0-1) and New Mexico United (1-1-0, +1GD)

Oakland Roots SC / New Mexico United / Rio Grande Valley FC (43pts)

Head-to-Head Inapplicable – Oakland def. New Mexico (2-0-0), Rio Grande Valley def. Oakland (1-0-1), New Mexico vs. Rio Grande Valley even (0-0-2)

Oakland Roots SC takes tiebreaker on PPG In-Conference
Oakland – 1.36 (8-8-6, 30pts)
Rio Grande Valley – 1.27 (6-6-10, 28pts)
New Mexico – 1.14 (6-9-7, 25pts)

Current Points-Per-Game vs. In-Conference Opponents
El Paso Locomotive FC – 6-9-6, 24pts (1.14)
New Mexico United – 6-9-7, 25pts (1.14) – Complete
Oakland Roots SC – 8-8-5, 29pts (1.38ppg)
Monterey Bay F.C. – 6-9-6, 24pts (1.14ppg)
Rio Grande Valley FC – 6-6-10, 28pts (1.27ppg) – Complete

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