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USL Championship Race to the Playoffs – Sept. 2-5

By NICHOLAS MURRAY - nicholas.murray@uslsoccer.com, 09/01/22, 11:16AM EDT

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Four playoff places could be clinched this weekend as the Eastern Conference race tightens


San Diego Loyal SC could clinch a playoff berth on Saturday night, but would need to take victory against Monterey Bay F.C. and get help from elsewhere to do so. | Photo courtesy San Diego Loyal SC

Welcome to our latest look at the playoff picture across the USL Championship as we go into this Labor Day weekend’s action, where the race in the Western Conference remains wide open after Phoenix Rising FC’s victory on Wednesday night, a result that also brought San Diego Loyal SC’s playoff place into view.

Over in the Eastern Conference, the top three teams could now clinch their places this weekend – Louisville City FC will be hoping the third time’s the charm, while the Tampa Bay Rowdies and Memphis 901 FC need help from Atlanta United 2 against FC Tulsa.

Here are four games to keep an eye on, and where everyone stands.

New Mexico United
September 2 | 9:00 p.m. ET
Isotopes Park
El Paso Locomotive FC

The Derby del Camino Real is a must-see on any occasion, but the added playoff storylines that provide the backdrop to the second meeting of the season between New Mexico United and El Paso Locomotive FC make Friday night’s lone contest that much more compelling. New Mexico is solidly in position to take a playoff place with seven games to play and would move back into a top-four position with a victory, which would also complete a season sweep of its rival. El Paso is above the playoff line for now, but with only six games left it needs to keep winning to stay there with all its rivals holding at least one game in hand to try and reel it in. That should make for another great chapter in arguably the best current rivalry in the league.

The Miami FC
September 3 | 7:00 p.m. ET
Riccardo Silva Stadium
Birmingham Legion FC

Miami FC and Birmingham Legion FC are both in good shape and in good form coming into their clash in South Florida this weekend, but both need victory for different reasons. Sitting in sixth place, and coming off three consecutive shutout victories, Miami can close in on clinching a playoff berth while keeping eighth-placed FC Tulsa at arm’s length with a win as it duels with Detroit City FC for position. Birmingham, meanwhile, is aiming to solidify a top-four position, and if things go right elsewhere it could end the night in second place, even though both the Tampa Bay Rowdies and Memphis 901 FC would hold a game in hand. It’s likely to be a tense contest, but it’s not far-fetched to think this could be an Eastern Conference Quarterfinal next month.

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
September 3 | 9:00 p.m. ET
Weidner Field
Phoenix Rising FC

Phoenix Rising FC got the victory it had to have on Wednesday night against Rio Grande Valley FC, but it can’t let its momentum falter as it heads for its second game of the week against Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC with the playoff picture in the Western Conference still wide open. After absorbing a 4-0 defeat on July 30 at Wild Horse Pass, you can be sure Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC will be out for some payback back on its home turf, and a victory for the Switchbacks would also bolster their top-three position and a chance at a first home playoff game since 2016.

Monterey Bay F.C.
September 3 | 10:00 p.m. ET
Cardinale Stadium
San Diego Loyal SC

San Diego Loyal SC can see the finish line when it comes to clinching a second consecutive postseason berth, but to get there it will need to take victory against Monterey Bay F.C. while getting help from elsewhere. With MBFC still in with a chance at a playoff place in its inaugural season – and showing improved defensive play of late to keep hold of that opportunity – this should be a compelling contest that will have a major impact on not only the fortunes of both these teams, but those around them at the top and bottom of the standings.

WESTERN CONFERENCE

2. San Antonio FC
1. San Antonio FC
Record: 18-5-3, 57pts
Playoff Odds: Clinched
Projected Finish: 1st (83%)
Max. Points Available: 81pts
Magic Number: IN
Up Next: at OAK (9/3)
San Antonio FC got the favor it needed from Indy Eleven after last weekend’s loss at Michael A. Carroll Stadium with the Boys in Blue taking victory against Louisville City FC on Wednesday night. That put SAFC back in the driver’s seat when it comes to ending with the best record in the league, but now they need to cement that advantage on the road against Oakland Roots SC. With Roots SC fighting for its playoff life, it’ll be a good test of San Antonio’s mettle.
2. San Diego Loyal SC
2. San Diego Loyal SC
Record: 16-7-4, 52pts
Playoff Odds: >99%
Projected Finish: 2nd (69%)
Max. Points Available: 73pts
Magic Number: 5
Up Next: at MB (9/3)
San Diego Loyal SC got the result it needed to put it in with a chance to clinch its playoff place on Saturday night. Now it needs to take victory on the road against Monterey Bay F.C. and two other results to go its way. First, it needs El Paso Locomotive FC to fail to take victory on Friday night against New Mexico United to drop El Paso’s maximum available to 53 points, then on Saturday it would need Rising FC to fail to take victory against Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC on Saturday to drop Phoenix’s maximum available to 54 points. If those three things happen, it guarantees San Diego a top-seven finish. If SD Loyal takes victory, and one of those other results doesn’t come through, it could clinch on Monday night if the LA Galaxy II fall to Hartford Athletic, which would drop Los Dos’ maximum available number to 54.
3. Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
3. Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
Record: 15-9-3, 48pts
Playoff Odds: >99%
Projected Finish: 3rd (47%)
Max. Points Available: 69pts
Magic Number: 9
Up Next: vs. PHX (9/3)
The Switchbacks can move much closer to a second consecutive playoff appearance with a victory against Phoenix Rising FC on Saturday night. To that end, they may also be hoping for San Diego Loyal SC to take victory against Monterey Bay F.C. – although dropped points for San Diego might open the door to a potential second-place finish – and for New Mexico United and Hartford Athletic to earn results against El Paso Locomotive FC and the LA Galaxy II, respectively.
7. Sacramento Republic FC
4. Sacramento Republic FC
Record: 12-7-7, 43pts
Playoff Odds: 99%
Projected Finish: 4th (37%)
Max. Points Available: 67pts
Magic Number: 14
Up Next: at LOU (9/3)
Sacramento Republic FC will know where it stands in terms of the top four going into Saturday night’s game at Louisville City FC with New Mexico United hosting El Paso Locomotive FC on Friday night. While New Mexico defeating El Paso would be a good result for Republic FC in terms of moving it closer to a playoff spot, a draw might actually be the preferred result for the 2022 Lamar Hunt U.S. Open Cup finalist as it would mean New Mexico wouldn’t move back past Sacramento into fourth ahead of a game in which it’s likely Sacramento will be rotating its lineup before the biggest game in club history next Wednesday night.
4. New Mexico United
5. New Mexico United
Record: 11-7-9, 42pts
Playoff Odds: 93%
Projected Finish: 5th (34%)
Max. Points Available: 63pts
Magic Number: 15
Up Next: vs. ELP (9/2)
New Mexico United can move into fourth place again on Friday night with a victory against El Paso Locomotive FC in the Derby del Camino Real at Isotopes Park, and there’s likely bonus motivation to take victory and a season sweep for the hosts with Locomotive FC under severe pressure in the race to reach the postseason. A victory for United could condemn its biggest rival to missing out on the playoffs for the first time.
2. El Paso Locomotive FC
6. El Paso Locomotive FC
Record: 10-11-7, 37pts
Playoff Odds: 42%
Projected Finish: 7th (18%)
Max Points Available: 55pts
Magic Number: N/A
Up Next: at NM (9/2)
In some ways, Phoenix Rising FC’s victory on Wednesday night against Rio Grande Valley FC was a good result for El Paso Locomotive FC, as it knocked the team with a higher maximum-available points total down. Locomotive FC is still in must-win territory as it faces rival New Mexico United on Friday night, though, and it will then be hoping, Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC, San Diego Loyal SC and Hartford Athletic can take victories against Phoenix, Monterey Bay F.C. and the LA Galaxy II over the remainder of the weekend.
2. El Paso Locomotive FC
7. Las Vegas Lights FC
Record: 10-10-7, 37pts
Playoff Odds: 30%
Projected Finish: 8th (16%)
Max Points Available: 58pts
Magic Number: 20
Up Next: at TBR (9/3)
Las Vegas got a small boost from Rio Grande Valley FC’s loss on Wednesday night to Phoenix Rising FC, but it still faces one of the toughest tasks this weekend while looking to remain in control of its path to the playoffs. A victory against the Tampa Bay Rowdies on the road would be a massive achievement, and Lights FC would also be boosted by victories from New Mexico United, Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC, San Diego Loyal SC and Hartford Athletic against El Paso Locomotive FC, Phoenix, Monterey Bay F.C. and the LA Galaxy II.
4. LA Galaxy II
8. LA Galaxy II
Record: 10-11-6, 36pts
Playoff Odds: 53%
Projected Finish: 6th (22%)
Max. Points Available: 57pts
Magic Number: 21
Up Next: vs. HFD (9/5)
The Galaxy II gained control of their pathway to the playoffs thanks to Phoenix Rising FC’s victory against Rio Grande Valley FC, leaving them with the seventh-highest available points total in the conference. Los Dos will now get to see how everything else plays out before it takes on Hartford Athletic on Monday night on its home turf at Dignity Health Sports Park. A victory there is still a must regardless of whatever else happens.
5. Oakland Roots SC
9. Oakland Roots SC
Record: 7-8-12, 33pts
Playoff Odds: 24%
Projected Finish: 9th (16%)
Max. Points Available: 54pts
Magic Number: N/A
Up Next: vs. SA (9/3)
There’s still a fighting chance for Roots SC, even though it has the second-lowest available points total in the conference, but it really must take victory at home to Western Conference leader San Antonio FC on Saturday night and hope that the teams around it drop points in their games. A loss would potentially be a serious blow, especially if Phoenix Rising FC or Monterey Bay F.C. can earn victory in their contests.
Phoenix Rising FC
10. Phoenix Rising FC
Record: 9-12-5, 32pts
Playoff Odds: 29%
Projected Finish: 10th (14%)
Max. Points Available: 56pts
Magic Number: N/A
Up Next: at COS (9/3)
Phoenix Rising FC got the win it had to have against Rio Grande Valley FC on Wednesday night and can now try to build on that momentum against Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC. That’s unlikely to be as easy a task as the 4-0 victory Phoenix claimed against the Switchbacks a few weeks ago at Wild Horse Pass, but a repeat of that result combined with setbacks for its rivals could see Phoenix take control of its pathway by the end of Monday night.
6. Rio Grande Valley FC
11. Rio Grande Valley FC
Record: 8-12-6, 30pts
Playoff Odds: 24%
Projected Finish: 10th (15%)
Max. Points Available: 54pts
Magic Number: N/A
Up Next: at ELP (9/7)
Rio Grande Valley FC’s playoff hopes took another severe blow after its loss to Phoenix Rising FC on Wednesday night. With this weekend off before another crucial contest against El Paso Locomotive FC next Wednesday night, the Toros will be hoping the teams at the top of the standings – San Antonio FC at Oakland Roots SC, San Diego Loyal SC at Monterey Bay F.C., Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC at home to Phoenix, and New Mexico United at home to El Paso Locomotive FC – can take victories to dent the hopes of the teams around them.
6. Rio Grande Valley FC
12. Monterey Bay F.C.
Record: 9-14-2, 29pts
Playoff Odds: 5%
Projected Finish: 12th (29%)
Max. Points Available: 56pts
Magic Number: N/A
Up Next: vs. SD (9/3)
Monterey Bay F.C. enters must-win territory on Saturday night as it plays host to San Diego Loyal SC, which could clinch a playoff berth if it takes victory at Cardinale Stadium. Phoenix’s victory against Rio Grande Valley FC was a good result for MBFC, though, and with the season on the line the hosts will want to put up a big performance and hope for things to fall their way elsewhere.
3. Orange County SC
13. Orange County SC
Record: 6-11-9, 27pts
Playoff Odds: 2%
Projected Finish: 13th (55%)
Max. Points Available: 51pts
Magic Number: N/A
Up Next: vs. MEM (9/3)
Orange County SC has the lowest available points total of any team in the Western Conference, which means it must take victory against Memphis 901 FC on Saturday night to keep its chances alive. The good news for the defending title holders? Memphis arrives on a two-game losing streak and on short rest after its loss to Loudoun United FC on Wednesday night.

EASTERN CONFERENCE

2. Louisville City FC
1. Louisville City FC
Record: 17-5-4, 55pts
Playoff Odds: >99%
Projected Finish: 1st (66%)
Max. Points Available: 79pts
Magic Number: 1
Up Next: vs. SAC (9/3)
Louisville City FC’s loss to Indy Eleven on Wednesday night wasn’t just a disappointment in terms of missing out on claiming the LIPAFC but handed the inside track to the best record in the regular season back to San Antonio FC going into the weekend. Three points against Sacramento Republic FC is a must on Saturday, and then the two-time title winners will be hoping Oakland Roots SC can do it a favor later in the night.
3. Memphis 901 FC
2. Memphis 901 FC
Record: 16-7-3, 51pts
Playoff Odds: >99%
Projected Finish: 3rd (39%)
Max. Points Available: 75pts
Magic Number: 5
Up Next: at OC (9/3)
Memphis 901 FC could have put itself in position to clinch a playoff berth without needing help on Wednesday night but couldn’t find a breakthrough against Loudoun United FC in a 1-0 defeat. Now it will need to beat Orange County SC on the road and hope that Atlanta United 2 can earn at least a draw against FC Tulsa to seal its postseason place, while also hoping Las Vegas Lights FC can take points off the Tampa Bay Rowdies and Miami FC the same against Birmingham Legion FC.
1. Tampa Bay Rowdies
3. Tampa Bay Rowdies
Record: 15-5-6, 51pts
Playoff Odds: >99%
Projected Finish: 2nd (48%)
Max. Points Available: 75pts
Magic Number: 5
Up Next: vs. LV (9/3)
The Tampa Bay Rowdies were the biggest beneficiaries of Wednesday night’s results with both Louisville City FC and Memphis 901 FC losing and Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC being held at home by the Charleston Battery. Tampa Bay can close out its fourth consecutive playoff trip with a victory against Las Vegas Lights FC if Atlanta United 2 can earn a draw against FC Tulsa, but it will also be eager to take all three points with the chance to move into second place and keep the pressure on Louisville at the top of the standings.
1. Birmingham Legion FC
4. Birmingham Legion FC
Record: 15-7-5, 50pts
Playoff Odds: >99%
Projected Finish: 4th (31%)
Max. Points Available: 71pts
Magic Number: 6
Up Next: at MIA (9/3)
As in the case of the Tampa Bay Rowdies, Birmingham Legion FC got a major boost from Wednesday night’s results. If Legion FC takes victory against Miami FC on the road on Saturday night, it could end the day in second place if the Tampa Bay Rowdies and Memphis 901 FC fail to pick up victories in their respective contests, and it would clinch a playoff place with a win and an Atlanta United 2 victory against FC Tulsa.
3. Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC
5. Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC
Record: 14-7-6, 48pts
Playoff Odds: >99%
Projected Finish: 5th (33%)
Max. Points Available: 69pts
Magic Number: 8
Up Next: at LDN (9/4)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC couldn’t find the net against the Charleston Battery on Wednesday night in a scoreless draw that handed the advantage for a top-four finish to Legion FC and the three teams above it in the standings. Now the Hounds will be hoping for Orange County SC, Las Vegas Lights FC and Miami FC to earn results on Saturday night before they face what could be a tricky game on the road against Loudoun United FC.
4. The Miami FC
6. The Miami FC
Record:12-8-7, 43pts
Playoff Odds: 99%
Projected Finish: 6th (35%)
Max. Points Available: 64pts
Magic Number: 13
Up Next: vs. BHM (9/3)
Wednesday night’s results didn’t change too much for Miami FC, but with a three-game winning streak going into its game with Birmingham Legion FC it can continue to close the door on FC Tulsa with victory at Riccardo Silva Stadium. A positive result by Atlanta United 2 in Tulsa would also be a nice bonus for the South Florida side.
1. Birmingham Legion FC
7. Detroit City FC
Record: 11-6-9, 42pts
Playoff Odds: 95%
Projected Finish: 7th (49%)
Max. Points Available: 66pts
Magic Number: 14
Up Next: vs. IND (9/3)
Detroit City FC also wasn’t affected much by Wednesday night’s results, although its clash with Indy Eleven – which is now coming off victories against the top teams in both the Eastern and Western Conference – is looking a little more challenging than it did seven days ago. Still, Le Rouge will be rested, and hoping that in addition to taking three points themselves they can get positive results from Birmingham Legion FC against Miami FC, and Atlanta United 2 against FC Tulsa.
4. FC Tulsa
8. FC Tulsa
Record: 10-13-4, 34pts
Playoff Odds: 6%
Projected Finish: 8th (72%)
Max. Points Available: 55pts
Magic Number: N/A
Up Next: at ATL (9/3)
FC Tulsa remains in must-win territory with an eight-point gap to make up and seven games to play. If they’re going to flip back past what’s typically been the tipping point for contention, a win against Atlanta United 2 and defeats for Miami FC against Birmingham Legion FC, and Detroit City FC against Indy Eleven are required.
5. OKC Energy FC
9. Indy Eleven
Record: 8-14-4, 28pts
Playoff Odds: < 1%
Projected Finish: 9th (48%)
Max. Points Available: 52pts
Magic Number: N/A
Up Next: at DET (9/3)
Indy Eleven’s playoff odds are still less than one percent – even if that’s delivering a great sense of optimism from their social media manager – but earning victory and the LIPAFC against Louisville City FC on Wednesday night was a tremendous boost. It almost certainly won’t translate to a playoff place this season, but Miami FC would definitely appreciate it if the Boys in Blue can pick off another result against Detroit City FC on Saturday.
5. OKC Energy FC
10. Hartford Athletic
Record: 6-15-6, 24pts
Playoff Odds: < 1%
Projected Finish: 10th (47%)
Max. Points Available: 45pts
Magic Number: N/A
Up Next: at LA (9/5)
Hartford Athletic’s rally against the New York Red Bulls II was inspiring stuff, but the reality is now the side could be officially eliminated before it kicks off against the LA Galaxy II on Monday night if Detroit City FC and Miami FC both take victory on Saturday. Still, Hartford will have plenty of Western Conference hopefuls eager for it to take points off Los Dos, regardless.
5. OKC Energy FC
11. Loudoun United FC
Record: 7-16-3, 24pts
Playoff Odds: < 1%
Projected Finish: 11th (46%)
Max. Points Available: 48pts
Magic Number: N/A
Up Next: vs. PIT (9/4)
Loudoun United FC had to ride its good fortune and a nine-save performance by Luis Zamudio to grab victory against Memphis 901 FC on Wednesday night, but its victory was a reminder that at this stage of the season nothing can be taken for granted.
Eliminated from Playoff Contention: Charleston Battery, Atlanta United 2, New York Red Bulls II

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